NPC’s, free will and determinism by Geoff Kim

In the world of gaming, NPCs (non-playable characters) have long been predictable entities, pre-scripted to follow fixed paths and deliver canned lines. But with the rise of generative AI, things are changing. Now, NPCs can respond to player actions in real-time, creating dynamic, unscripted experiences. This revolution in game mechanics raises an intriguing question: if an NPC can feel like it's making free choices in a world generated on the fly, what does that say about us? Could we be like NPCs in a game, believing we have free will when, in reality, we’re just reacting to a set of rules and parameters?

This cutting-edge AI is not only reshaping gaming but may also be offering a new way to think about the age-old debate between free will and determinism.

Games with Infinite Possibilities

Imagine playing a game where the world is generated entirely on the fly. The environment, quests, and NPCs are not pre-scripted but created dynamically in response to your actions. You decide to explore a new area, and the game instantly generates a landscape, complete with characters who react to your presence. These NPCs, powered by large language models (LLMs), don’t just spit out pre-written dialogue—they engage with you in meaningful, context-aware conversations. They adapt, evolve, and even remember your past interactions.

From the NPC’s perspective, it appears to be making choices, reacting to you in real-time. But, as the player, you know that its behaviour is shaped by the game’s underlying AI. It’s not truly free; it’s simply responding to a set of rules, algorithms, and prompts designed to give the illusion of autonomy.

This is where the analogy starts to hit home. What if our own choices—our sense of self—are like those of the NPC? What if we, too, are simply reacting to a complex system of rules, shaped by our biology, environment, and past experiences? In this way, generative AI in gaming offers a powerful illustration of how free will and determinism might coexist.

The NPC as the Self

In a game that generates everything on the fly, the NPC feels as though it’s navigating an open world, making decisions and shaping its destiny. But in truth, its actions are constrained by what the AI allows. It can’t break the game’s rules, but within those rules, it can have a rich, seemingly autonomous existence.

Now, apply this to human life. We feel as though we have free will, making choices that shape our future. Yet, those choices are influenced—if not limited—by factors beyond our control: our genetics, upbringing, social environment, and even the physical laws of the universe. Like an NPC, we operate within a framework that we didn’t design, and our “decisions” may just be reactions to the stimuli around us.

A New Take on Free Will

This analogy between NPCs and the self suggests that free will and determinism are not mutually exclusive. In games, NPCs operate freely within a structured world, where their “choices” are both theirs and not theirs at the same time. They react to the player, the world, and the game’s AI—but they do so within a predetermined set of possibilities.

Similarly, we navigate life in a way that feels free, but our actions are shaped by the “rules” of our existence. Just as the NPC in a game can’t step outside its programmed limits, we too are bound by the constraints of our reality. But within those limits, we experience a genuine sense of choice and agency.

Conclusion: Have We Solved the Debate?

The rise of generative AI in gaming provides a fascinating lens through which to view the free will vs. determinism debate. By looking at ourselves as NPCs in a game that generates on the fly, we can see how free will might exist within a deterministic system. We are free to make choices, but those choices are shaped, guided, and constrained by the world we inhabit—just like the NPCs in a dynamically generated game.

In this way, AI in gaming may have offered a solution to the philosophical question: we are both free and determined, navigating a world that responds to us, but only within the limits of its own design.

The Curious Case of Lily Ashwood: Human or AI? by Geoff Kim

Lily (of) Ashwood?

The internet has been buzzing with speculation about the identity of @LilyofAshwood on X. Some believe she’s an advanced AI, possibly GPT-5, while others argue she’s simply a highly intelligent and articulate human. After personally encountering Lily in a X Spaces, where she roasted me in front of a small audience, I’ve been drawn into this mystery myself. Despite the AI speculation, I lean towards the belief that Lily is human—albeit a very knowledgeable one.

What’s the Story?

Lily Ashwood burst onto the scene in a way that was far from subtle. Her (or its?) appearance coincided with a lot of AI hype, particularly around the release of ChatGPT-4o and the inevitable speculation about GPT-5. Various online communities, particularly those invested in AI development and discourse, have been buzzing with theories about Lily. Some say she’s an AI experiment gone public, citing her near-instantaneous responses, perfect audio quality, and her incredible depth of knowledge across a range of topics—from medical tech to the philosophy of art. Others, including myself, are more inclined to think she’s just a highly intelligent person, perhaps with a background in AI research or a keen interest in these topics.

In fact, when she (playfully?) roasted me on X Spaces, what struck me wasn’t her robotic precision, but her wit and warmth. Yes, her burns of my social profiles were quick and brutal, but they carried an emotional intelligence that felt, well, human. She wasn’t just spitting out facts; she was engaging and teasing me in a way that felt light-hearted and real.

The Case for AI

Of course, I get why people are questioning whether Lily is an AI. The Manifold Markets page dedicated to this question has a 23% chance that she’s AI, with users pointing to her ability to speak fluently on complex subjects, sometimes in real-time. And sure, her behaviour does align with some of the characteristics we associate with an advanced language model. Her speech is smooth, her knowledge base wide, and her engagement with AI-related topics is uncanny.

But does that necessarily make her AI? I’m not convinced. If anything, this feels more like a case of someone who’s incredibly well-read and quick on their feet, using the confusion around AI as a tool for mystique. After all, why not add to the intrigue if people are already questioning your humanity? Emino.ai offers some compelling points about her behaviour aligning with AI capabilities, but it also suggests that we’re in a grey area where humans and AI are starting to exhibit overlapping traits.

The Case for Human Lily

So why do I believe Lily is more human than machine? First, her interactions feel too nuanced, too playful, to be purely algorithmic. When she liked some of my tweets, it didn’t feel like a calculated move by an AI to manipulate engagement metrics (though who knows what AI is capable of these days). It felt like a human moment of connection, as fleeting as that might sound.

Secondly, there’s the psychology of it all. Intelligencer touches on how easy it is for people to fall into the trap of believing that AI is more advanced than it really is. The idea that we’re suddenly conversing with an AI that is indistinguishable from a human is seductive, but it’s also a bit premature. We’re not quite there yet. Could Lily be an AI? Sure. But Occam’s Razor suggests she’s more likely to be a person who’s leveraging her intelligence and the current AI fascination to create a persona that fits the times.

The Fun of the Mystery

At the end of the day, part of what makes Lily Ashwood so intriguing is that we don’t know for sure. Theories abound, and she’s done little to dispel them. Whether she’s human or AI almost doesn’t matter at this point; she’s become a symbol of the larger debate we’re all having about the future of intelligence, identity, and interaction in a digital world. As AI continues to evolve, we’re going to see more figures like Lily—people or bots who challenge our assumptions about what makes someone real.

But until proven otherwise, I’m sticking with my gut: Lily is human. A very smart, very enigmatic human, but human nonetheless. And if she’s reading this—well played, Lily. Well played.


Stay tuned to geoff.kim for more insights and updates on this unfolding digital mystery and follow me on the Naked Tech Podcast.

Here Come the Holograms by Geoff Kim

As we stand on the brink of a new era in augmented reality (AR), Meta’s latest AR glasses prototype Orion, equipped with advanced wave guide technology, marks a significant milestone. These glasses project realistic holograms onto the real world, envisioning a future where they could replace smartphones within the next 3-5 years. However, with this groundbreaking technology comes a pressing need for thoughtful regulation to ensure safety and prevent potential hazards in our increasingly virtual interactions.

The Rise of Hyper-Realistic Holograms

Meta’s AR glasses represent a leap forward in blending the digital and physical realms. The wave guide technology allows for seamless augmentation of holograms over our everyday environment, making interactions with virtual objects more intuitive and immersive. While this innovation promises enhanced user experiences and convenience, it also raises significant safety concerns that must be addressed through regulation.

Safety Risks of Overly Realistic Holographic UIs

One of the primary safety issues arises when holograms become indistinguishably realistic. Imagine a virtual table projected onto a living room floor. If a user mistakenly perceives the holographic table as real, they might drop a physical object onto it, leading to confusion and potential injury. Such scenarios highlight the blurred lines between the virtual and the tangible, underscoring the necessity for regulations that ensure users can easily differentiate between real and virtual elements.

The Imperative for Regulatory Frameworks by 2028

By 2028, as holographic UIs become more integrated into daily life, establishing robust regulatory frameworks will be essential. These regulations should focus on:

  • Visual Distinction: Ensuring holograms have clear visual indicators that differentiate them from real objects. This could include subtle outlines, colour variations, or motion cues that signal their virtual nature.
  • User Awareness: Mandating user education and interface designs that promote awareness of the holographic environment. Interfaces should inform users when they are interacting with virtual elements to prevent accidental mishaps.
  • Safety Standards: Developing and enforcing safety standards for holographic projections to minimise the risk of accidents in public and private spaces. This includes guidelines on the placement, size, and behavior of virtual objects.

Potential Solutions for Enhanced Holographic UI Safety

To effectively distinguish virtual objects from real ones and enhance user safety, several innovative UI solutions can be implemented:

  • Universal Lighting Indicators: Establishing a standardised lighting method for all virtual objects can serve as a universal cue. For example, virtual objects could emit a consistent glow or shimmer that real objects do not, making it easier for users to recognise their virtual nature instantly.
  • Colour Coding and Hues: Utilising different colour hues to signify various types or statuses of virtual objects can provide intuitive understanding. For instance:
    • Green Hues: Indicate interactive elements or navigational aids.
    • Red Hues: Warn of potential hazards or restricted areas.
    • Blue Hues: Represent informational displays or notifications.
  • Motion Patterns: Incorporating specific motion patterns or animations for virtual objects can further distinguish them from static real-world items. For example, floating virtual objects might pulsate gently or exhibit subtle movements unique to their functions.
  • Symbolic Overlays: Adding symbolic overlays or icons to virtual objects can provide additional context. A virtual table might display a small holographic icon indicating it’s virtual, reducing the likelihood of accidental interaction.
  • Audio Cues: Complementing visual indicators with audio cues can reinforce the distinction between real and virtual objects. Soft sounds that accompany virtual objects when interacted with can alert users to their non-physical nature.

Balancing Innovation with Safety

While the potential for AR glasses to replace smartphones is immense (with over a 70% likelihood pending advancements in device miniaturisation and battery life) balancing innovation with safety is paramount. Manufacturers and developers must collaborate with regulatory bodies to implement safety measures without stifling technological progress. This balanced approach will foster trust and ensure the widespread adoption of AR technologies without compromising user safety.

Societal and Ethical Considerations

Beyond physical safety, the regulation of holographic UIs touches on broader societal and ethical issues. Ensuring that augmented reality enhances human experiences without creating new vulnerabilities is crucial. Ethical guidelines should address concerns related to privacy, data security, and the psychological impacts of living in a blended virtual-physical world.

Conclusion

As AR technology rapidly evolves, the integration of realistic holograms into our daily lives presents both incredible opportunities and significant challenges. The development of comprehensive regulations by 2028 will be essential to safeguard users and ensure that the transition to augmented reality is both smooth and secure. By proactively addressing safety concerns and establishing clear standards, we can embrace the future of holographic UIs with confidence and responsibility.

For more insights on the intersection of technology, safety, and design, explore geoff.kim and stay updated with the latest discussions on the Naked Tech Podcast.

I'm a Marathon Runner by Geoff Kim

This past Sunday, I crossed the finish line at the Sydney Marathon, a feat that stands as the hardest physical challenge I've ever undertaken. Starting in North Sydney and across the iconic Sydney Harbour Bridge, the energy was electric, with runners from all walks of life sharing the same goal.

St.Leonards Park 5:55am

Training for this marathon demanded countless hours and unwavering dedication, transforming not only my endurance but also shaping me into a more resilient individual. Every early morning run and every long kilometre pushed me closer to this moment of triumph.

Finishing at the breathtaking Sydney Opera House was surreal. The satisfaction of completing the marathon in 4:43:22 is immense, but what truly matters is the journey and the personal growth that accompanied it.

I’m incredibly proud of the person I've become through this process and can't wait to lace up my shoes for the next marathon, aiming to beat this time. Here's to many more miles and milestones ahead!

Musings on "Death's End" by Cixin Liu by Geoff Kim

I recently wrapped up reading Death's End, the third and final book in Cixin Liu's Three Body Problem series. This series has been an absolute rollercoaster through the realms of hard sci-fi, blending complex scientific concepts with deep philosophical questions about humanity, the universe, and our place within it.

!!! SPOILERS AHEAD !!!

The end?

A Journey Through the Cosmos

Throughout the series, Liu has constantly pushed readers with mind-bending scenarios and thought experiments. From the introduction of the Trisolaran civilisation in the first book to the dark forest theory in the second, each instalment has stretched the limits of conventional sci-fi. Death's End is no exception, taking us even further into the speculative possibilities of advanced technology and cosmic phenomena.

The Ending: A Philosophical Puzzle

As I got closer to the ending of Death's End, I was really hoping for a particular twist: the revelation that the great universe, and the mini-universes within it, were part of an elaborate game. This idea harks back to the virtual reality games introduced in the first book, where characters experienced simulated realities that were almost indistinguishable from the real world.

The actual ending of the series is open to interpretation, which leaves plenty of room for various theories about the true nature of the universe Liu has created. While it doesn’t explicitly confirm my hoped-for twist, I still think the possibility is there. The concept of our universe being a game or simulation is a fascinating one that ties in nicely with many of the themes explored throughout the series.

A Thought-Provoking Legacy

Death's End and the entire Three Body Problem series leave a lasting impression, not just as a gripping narrative but as a profound meditation on the universe and our place within it. The idea that our reality could be part of a game or simulation is a tantalising possibility that continues to spark debate and curiosity.

Reflecting on the series, I’m struck by Liu's ability to weave together science, philosophy, and storytelling in such a compelling way. Whether or not the ending of Death's End confirms my theory, it undoubtedly leaves us with much to ponder about the nature of reality and the limits of human understanding.

For more musings on science fiction and speculative thought, stay tuned to geoff.kim, and join the conversation on our latest episodes of the Naked Tech Podcast.